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Thursday, 30 May 2013

What could CCP do with the launcher failure?

Posted on 22:00 by Unknown
In EVE Online there was a patch to the launcher that caused large amount of players to be unable to log in. The CSM jumped on doing its job, protecting CCP from players, claiming that everything is absolutely correct and there is nothing wrong in what CCP did, mistakes happen with everyone.

Let me clarify, mistakes do happen and there is nothing in the World that could prevent a stupid bug from making a system being totally nonfunctional until fixed. I don't blame CCP for not being perfect.

I do blame them though for not being error-resistant and I do blame CSM for not suggesting them to be. Having a car accident is a disastrous bad luck. Not being able to give first aid, not having first aid kid and not knowing the phone number of the ambulance and firefighters on the other hand is being a horrible idiot.

On the evening of the launcher fail, I just clicked the EVE icon, a short bar ran trough my screen and then nothing. Restarted the machine, clicked the icon, nothing. No pop-up, no error message, I could only see in the task manager that the eve launcher is indeed running (not even "not responding"), but it used no CPU, read and wrote no disk, it was just there. Having some basic knowledge about IT I knew that it is waiting for some other process or resource, probably on the net. I started digging the forums and after various pages of "launcher doesn't start CCP is ruining my life" and countless copies of the same error messages I found some suggestions from players.

The first one was to run repair.exe which failed with an error message I couldn't understand. Went back to the forums, searching for the error message, I found nothing but players whining and copying the error message again and again.

After some more forum digging, I found the Chribba link for the updater, some info how to apply it and I could do it. What does it mean: the error wasn't fatal like a server power outage, could be circumvented, but the way of doing it was provided by players and not developers. This is unacceptable and equal to the car accident victims helped only by bystanders and no response from 911.

So these are the things I expect from CCP:
  1. A verbose field of "what I do now" of the launcher. If anything fails, the launcher should be clearly be able to tell where did it fail.
  2. A wiki page explaining what each step means and what are likely causes and what countermeasures the player can do if any.
  3. A dedicated forum topic on the top level of the forum called "most recent error" where only developers can start topics. This forum should be the source of information for players.
  4. As soon as either a dev finds an error that affects players or the GMs are getting mass player reports of an error, an employee is assigned to forum duty. His job is not to code a solution but to communicate, help players with the problem and devs by getting informed. He keeps the topic aggressively moderated from whining, demanding and same-error-reporting, leaving only posts which offer either a new error message or some workaround. He keeps the opening post updated constantly for fast info.
Such actions would make players much less stranded and helpless with a bug.


I used to watch zkillboard.com for horrible loss reports and make a moron of the day post but I got bored of it. After all, you can see the same things if you filter for 5B losses. Still, today a moron is provided, sent in mail by the killer. The point isn't that Sherman Potter lost an 1.4B pod in a 45M horrifit retriever. The point is that the killer managed to convince him to pay 50M for his frozen corpse, since you can regain implants from your frozen corpse. Or maybe not.
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Wednesday, 29 May 2013

A newbie and also hardcore friendly WoW raid mechanic

Posted on 22:00 by Unknown
The recent results that shown that most players belong to the same spectrum while a smaller leech group intrudes them made me wonder how could Blizzard design raid content that support learning but doesn't support leeching.

The key feature of the raid encounters is "void zone", something that you shouldn't stand in. They can be fire, falling rock, belly of a Garalon, a hole below Elegon or anything. The main problem with the current design is that these void zones are either binary (you don't stand in them or die) or not your problem.

If the void zone is binary, it is extremely unwelcoming to new players and casuals since their worth in the raid is zero, as they are dead. Someone could be 80% as good as the best player on Patchwerk, but you can only be 100% or 0 now. So better players can do nothing than wipe and wipe until the new one learns the "dance". Or they can just disband the raid apply to a guild where people "can play".

If the void zone is not binary, it's "heal ffs". The damage dealers typically ignore it and whine if the healers fail to keep them alive. Content which is designed to weaker skilled players therefore become faceroll. LFR Megaera is Patchwerk. There is no middle ground. Until players are not oneshotted, they have little reason to care about void zones, so lower content has little learning value.

Let me propose a new design that allows the same content being newbie and hardcore friendly. All we need is to change void zones from damaging to stunning, CC-ing, taking away or placing DPS/HPS debuffs. The whirlwinds of Wind Lord Mel'jarak are a good example. There should only be unavoidable and tank damage to heal, void zones are not damaging anyone. If you stand in them, you are stopped from doing your job. If you ignore void zones, your DPS/HPS will suffer from it.

The difficulty of the raid can be adjusted by changing the necessary DPS to kill the boss before enrage and HPS to keep the raid up from unavoidable damage. The very same raid could serve as LFR and heroic, there is just higher DPS/HPS need in the latter. While the LFR version is doable if the average raid member is spending 1/3 of his time stunned, being stunned is not fun, so it motivates players to don't ignore the void zone. With this design you could not only learn the moves in LFR/normal, but your log is equal to HC logs. I mean if you did X DPS in LFR, it means you can do X DPS in heroic, and if X is enough, you are good for heroic raiding.

Currently playing "well" in LFR decreases your DPS as it forces you to move. The one who stands in the fire can beat you on the meters. The new design would change the damage done field of the meter into a universal "goodness" meter, as your damage depends on not standing in the voidzones. Adding an official damage meter would increase the learning value of LFR and dungeons and this could be completed by changing ilvl demands to DPS/HPS demands. The progression would be:
  1. Top level normal dungeon: anyone who has max level character can enter and the bosses don't enrage at all. But there is an achievement for doing X DPS on the endbosses who have voidzones. For healers it is to keep everyone over 50% all time, for tanks it is to avoid aggro loss (which happens if you are thrown away by some void zones).
  2. Heroic dungeons are available for those who have this achievement. The bosses are still lenient. However if you reach Y DPS, you earn an achievement to be earned.
  3. LFR is available for those who have this achievement from HC dungeons. As there are multiple healers, they are also ranked by healing done. The bosses have lenient enrages, but if your DPS/HPS on all bosses of the raids reaches 90% of what's needed on a normal raid, you get an achievement.
  4. This achievement would be a certificate that you can show to recruiting normal mode guilds. While you still need both gear and experience, you can prove that you learned the bosses and provide reasonable DPS for your gear. In normal modes you could earn the final level of the achievement if for all bosses your DPS/HPS reaches 90% of the heroic raid demands.
  5. With this achievement the HC guild can safely recruit you. While you won't top their meters, they can be sure that you need improvement mostly in gear as you have mastered the movement.
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Tuesday, 28 May 2013

The "carebear", the "PvP-er" and the blue doughnut

Posted on 22:00 by Unknown
I've been repeatedly called a "carebear". When I earned billions a day without mining or shooting a single red cross, gaining all the money from other players, I was a carebear. When I took part in capturing regions with TEST alliance, I was a carebear. When I killed ships with ISK/month in a magnitude of small-gang alliances, outperforming the members of even the most "elite" alliances hundred times, I was a carebear.

For long, I believed that the word "carebear" means nothing else than "pubbie", used by Goons: someone who is not us, therefore we hate him. But it was always odd. The word "carebear" was used descriptively instead of pejoratively. I mean when you call a fat man "pig", you are fully aware that he is not a household animal. You mean that he is similar to the household animal, therefore use this unfavorable comparison. However when you just call him "ugly, fat man" you mean your words literally. It always felt they mean "carebear" literally, despite I'm obviously not someone who cares about the feelings of others or scared of losses.

Mabrick calls himself a carebear, maybe the only man doing so openly, since "carebear" isn't a badge of honor in EVE. His post about being one helped a lot to understand what "carebear" and it's opposite, the "PvP-er" means.

The other thing that helped is my time in TEST, which is indeed a PvP-er alliance, therefore a place where I never belonged, no matter how hard I try to contribute to their stated goals. Neither supporting their budget or TEST_free, nor flying in their fleets did not bring me any closer to them. I was always a "carebear". Similarly I was constantly puzzled about their frigate/cruiser roams and their obvious happiness flying them and telling stories about their adventures. To me these were rather meaningless and stupid waste of time with kills that could be replaced by a single AFK miner.

The "carebear" is someone who fights other people for a goal. I want your loot so I kill you. I want your region so I fight you. I want to pad my killboard so I kill you. I want your ISK so I steal your corp hangar. While such "carebear" does PvP, he only does when there is a point, and usually there is not. In most cases it's easier to farm than kill another guy for the same loot.

The "PvP-er" is someone who fights for the experience of fighting or for domination over other person (tears). He can't care less about ISK and objectives and when forced to care by game mechanics, he whines about the game being horrible and tries to avoid it as far as he can: he flies cheap ships so he doesn't have to care about ISK loss and grinds Sov only when he is absolutely forced to. In wormholes there is an often recited moral guidline: "do not evict PvP corps".

If we understand this, the myth of the Blue Doughnut becomes understandable. It's a belief held by "carebears" that nullsec alliances are all friendly with each other. This is because they do not evict each other and miss on obvious opportunities to gain the upper hand. The source is the "carebear" thinking: I want their moons or ratting space, so I take it the most effective way. If they don't do it, but clash in Talwars, they don't really want to go to war. Which is true: they want to have fun fighting with each other and complain when their leaders blue someone, decreasing the number of players to shoot. The NCdot line members indeed didn't want the moons of TEST (their leaders might) and just went to fight TEST for the fight itself.

The problem is the difference of objectives: a "carebear" thinking says "if you want the same objective as me, we are enemies". The "PvP-er" thinking says: "if you don't respect me, don't afraid of me, we are enemies". When "carebears" see "PvP-ers" fighting, he sees a thunderdome, while the participants are doing their best to gain respect and to humiliate their opponent. When "PvP-ers" see "carebears" fighting, he sees cowardice, bargaining and blobbing, while the participants are doing their best to get as good ISK ratio as possible.
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Monday, 27 May 2013

Who are the second group of players?

Posted on 22:00 by Unknown
You could see yesterday that the players who go to the Looking for Raid feature do not belong to one kind of group, therefore the performance distribution on the players is not a Gaussian, but the combination of two Gaussians. It's like the height distribution of "pets" where some of the pets are dogs and others are cats.

Let's find them! I dug into the WoW armory and gathered the item level (the power of the gear) of all 496 players belonging to my dataset and plotted the DPS vs their ilvl:

Got a terribly noisy dataset with very weak, 0.316 fitting goodness. But it's not a problem at all, as we aren't here to find the connection between ilvl and DPS but to identify the two distinct groups of players. So I started to identify and successively remove data points that are the farthest from the fitting line.

If a dataset is random, then there are nearly equal amount of points both below and above the line. The graph below shows this balance. Here every removed point was given +1 if it was above the line and -1 if below. If it's random, the resulting line should be a noisy one around zero:

Oops! The 80 most unfitting points are almost all above the line. Among the next 40 worst fitting points, 28 are above the line and 12 below. Let's see where these 120 points are and how the remaining dataset looks like?

You can see that the cleansed data is not only fitting much better, 0.714, but it's direction is changed too, from 0.30X to 0.42X. This is because the removed, one-sided data were not random extremes, but from a distinct group. Now let's see the removed points: 20 of them are below the line, they are simply random extremes of the main group. There is 20 similar above the line. The other 80 above the line points are the ones who don't belong. So let's calculate the mean and stdev of the 80 most unfitting and do the same for the 416 remaining points. Let's compare these results with what we've found yesterday with the fitting of two Gaussians:
Majority average Majority STD Minority average Minority STD Minority ratio
Gaussian fit method 69 20 47 10 21%
Unfitting data method 67 20 53 15 16%

Very good similarity, we seem to have found our two distinct group of players. Below you can see their DPS, Ilvl and number of gearing errors (missing gems, enchants...):
Average DPS Average Ilvl Average gear errors
Majority 67 498 2.9
Minority 53 510 2.2

"Newbies" and "Casuals" are the terms used on bad players, who just "need help". Now look at this: the minority group, who has significantly worse performance have much better gear and less gearing mistakes. They clearly have time to farm gear. They seem to have enough game knowledge to gem and enchant. Yet they perform worse than the majority. Who else they can be than leeching slackers? Like in all socialist system where the "weak" gets help, in MMOs the player groups are intruded by leeches who don't make any effort but get their rewards abusing the other players and the socialist systems. When the Looking for Raid feature was first introduced, below-the-tank leeches were kicked routinely. But Blizzard decided that the "newbies and casuals" deserve help and made kicking very hard. This is the result: AFK-ers, autoattackers and bots.

So we found the biggest factor of success: effort. There are people who try to succeed and others who just whine, blame "luck" and leech on those who pull their weight. And Blizzard forces us to tolerate them! Well, they can't force me, I unsubscribed again and go back to EVE!


PS: the 0.415X in the cleansed dataset means that 1K DPS increase usually means 0.415 ilvl better gear. It does not mean that 0.415 ilvl increase cause 1K DPS increase on average. The DPS is function of more things than Ilvl therefore you can't just form an inverse function this way.

Below the click you can find the whole dataset: "distance from average in sigma","ilvl","fails","Link"
3.98,525,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonblight/Archan%C3%A2/advanced"
1.81,510,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/draenor/Alcasthorn/advanced"
1.33,511,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/Avaneesh/advanced"
1.01,512,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Amberl%C3%A9/advanced"
0.80,522,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Vladushoodru/advanced"
0.54,501,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/draenor/Devens/advanced"
0.25,512,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Seonia/advanced"
-0.21,513,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Nimfawodna/advanced"
-0.25,485,6,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Noobla/advanced"
-0.34,497,6,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Siv%C3%BDvlas/advanced"
-0.51,489,4,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Ysmay/advanced"
-0.62,490,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/draenor/Stumpz/advanced"
-0.67,512,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/azjolnerub/Tsil/advanced"
-1.01,488,6,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Triestilawl/advanced"
-1.34,483,9,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Lol%C3%B1/advanced"
-1.34,487,11,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/Doomline/advanced"
2.72,517,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Ellvie/advanced"
2.24,513,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aszune/Greenax/advanced"
2.15,514,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggra-portugues/Ghalandriel/advanced"
1.80,498,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/draenor/Dreflock/advanced"
1.64,516,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aszune/Shootemdwarf/advanced"
1.32,518,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/draenor/Tiddly/advanced"
1.08,514,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/daggerspine/Achronos/advanced"
0.95,504,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodhoof/Anye/advanced"
0.77,505,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Onna/advanced"
-0.25,495,5,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/draenor/Darukill/advanced"
-0.25,481,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonblight/Washa/advanced"
-0.42,486,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/Shurty/advanced"
-0.49,485,8,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/Digitaldeath/advanced"
-1.33,498,11,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/Thisismee/advanced"
-1.35,484,12,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodhoof/Allera/advanced"
-1.60,515,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Sinedra/advanced"
1.48,501,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aszune/Harv%C3%A9y/advanced"
1.43,510,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/Theneo/advanced"
1.28,502,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Tnsofdmg/advanced"
0.63,503,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aszune/Elementi/advanced"
0.59,507,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/Loopydoo/advanced"
0.08,493,9,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodscalp/Saqula/advanced"
0.07,489,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/Keire/advanced"
0.05,495,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Ceiro/advanced"
-0.03,514,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Cindervein/advanced"
-0.04,498,4,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/draenor/Valashi/advanced"
-0.36,501,4,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/R%C3%A9p%C3%A1s/advanced"
-0.40,494,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Wulfrune/advanced"
-0.43,494,10,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Songokuh/advanced"
-0.74,511,4,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/Firefart/advanced"
-0.89,504,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodscalp/Diplon/advanced"
-1.14,511,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/draenor/Isthirria/advanced"
2.19,504,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggra-portugues/Darkchosmos/advanced"
2.12,507,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Arcturuss/advanced"
1.80,511,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bladefist/Verruckt/advanced"
1.04,508,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/azjolnerub/Diamanda/advanced"
1.03,503,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/B%C3%A8rz%C3%A8rk/advanced"
0.86,511,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodhoof/Oggzilla/advanced"
0.85,499,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/azjolnerub/Grolschlager/advanced"
0.47,500,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Tedry/advanced"
0.10,514,4,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/twilights-hammer/Erymanthos/advanced"
0.02,503,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/azjolnerub/Kamilgd/advanced"
-0.16,514,19,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Hussarx/advanced"
-0.16,510,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Deadlyhands/advanced"
-0.72,502,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Zelenoocka/advanced"
-0.80,481,5,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/%C3%9Cdby/advanced"
-0.92,494,4,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodhoof/Sturridge/advanced"
-1.29,497,11,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggra-portugues/Hevlaska/advanced"
1.23,507,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonblight/Infinitie/advanced"
1.07,500,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodscalp/Sanqo/advanced"
1.05,509,4,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Jenca/advanced"
0.98,508,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonblight/Teone/advanced"
0.92,507,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Togglebus/advanced"
0.81,503,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonblight/Sacrament/advanced"
0.65,494,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/Shazzr%C3%A1h/advanced"
0.54,496,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonblight/Shadowblazer/advanced"
0.49,499,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonblight/Shadowblazer/advanced"
0.37,492,3,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Ejbik/advanced"
0.12,507,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/Rexthebest/advanced"
-0.91,486,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Astanashar/advanced"
-0.97,500,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Ap%C3%B8ll%C3%B8n/advanced"
-1.35,488,12,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/Brokkoli/advanced"
-1.56,487,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/azjolnerub/Cadz/advanced"
-1.79,498,14,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodhoof/Mentini/advanced"
1.58,501,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/Tomdarkness/advanced"
1.41,513,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/azjolnerub/Necrohammer/advanced"
1.11,497,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonmaw/Calau/advanced"
1.10,511,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Mattatui/advanced"
0.79,507,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/F%C3%A9ardotcom/advanced"
0.55,496,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Costoboci/advanced"
0.37,504,9,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Tvixy/advanced"
0.25,509,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/daggerspine/Zian/advanced"
0.15,510,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/Iordain/advanced"
0.07,506,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Losmisiakos/advanced"
-0.01,494,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Vercin/advanced"
-0.57,484,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/azjolnerub/Celticblitz/advanced"
-0.62,504,7,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Gearframe/advanced"
-0.81,505,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/Dog/advanced"
-1.13,485,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/azjolnerub/Estatic/advanced"
-1.47,490,5,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/azjolnerub/Kuljo/advanced"
1.82,511,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Jauffre/advanced"
0.50,508,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/draenor/Ulfee/advanced"
0.34,493,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Kornel/advanced"
0.27,504,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/Screaming/advanced"
0.27,498,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Diamage/advanced"
-0.06,496,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Mongwan/advanced"
-0.07,510,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Akosia/advanced"
-0.15,520,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Szwarzzeine/advanced"
-0.37,499,7,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aszune/Xperlharbour/advanced"
-0.47,491,8,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodscalp/Dylan/advanced"
-0.58,491,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/Dambledoor/advanced"
-0.66,501,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aszune/Walhalla/advanced"
-0.84,505,7,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/Kaffekop/advanced"
-0.89,507,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Ciribrik/advanced"
-1.14,483,10,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Grutte/advanced"
-1.16,504,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Kefster/advanced"
2.19,507,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Iladaar/advanced"
1.90,510,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/Mikepower/advanced"
1.88,510,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Vazlaq/advanced"
1.62,512,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/Xeert/advanced"
0.87,510,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bladefist/Karmagedonas/advanced"
0.52,508,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggra-portugues/Stonefists/advanced"
0.44,505,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodhoof/Nutann/advanced"
0.32,495,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodscalp/Nylena/advanced"
0.21,494,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/Kags/advanced"
-0.43,485,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/Diakana/advanced"
-0.62,491,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/R%C3%B3bson/advanced"
-0.67,508,3,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Dark%C3%B3n/advanced"
-0.83,484,3,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonblight/Shathor/advanced"
-0.94,496,9,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Temri/advanced"
-1.04,483,6,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/Haugtussa/advanced"
-1.26,492,18,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Kungp%C3%B3w/advanced"
2.20,522,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Czykitaa/advanced"
0.84,510,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Velrial/advanced"
0.38,500,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Apherus/advanced"
0.37,496,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/azjolnerub/Wilow/advanced"
0.27,497,3,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/draenor/Kylarstern/advanced"
0.09,505,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/azjolnerub/Raacoon/advanced"
0.03,496,8,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/Zodk/advanced"
-0.03,493,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonblight/Appraiser/advanced"
-0.10,507,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/Alubel/advanced"
-0.36,496,5,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Humanpride/advanced"
-0.39,491,5,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/Lazar%C3%BAs/advanced"
-0.54,485,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Canofwoopass/advanced"
-0.65,499,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/Peyral/advanced"
-1.02,498,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/Skylake/advanced"
-1.15,487,19,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/S%C3%A9ledian/advanced"
-1.38,488,6,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Tygricekzc/advanced"
1.87,520,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/Pallthunti/advanced"
1.55,517,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Wolfuss/advanced"
1.27,507,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/Jaggal/advanced"
0.77,509,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/Vergangenes/advanced"
0.67,492,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Simfony/advanced"
0.57,507,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/Adames/advanced"
0.53,501,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/Arathor/Jakin/advanced"
0.45,506,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/Azjolnerub/Mamou/advanced"
0.23,506,4,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/Doomhammer/Snowya/advanced"
0.09,485,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Gargorak/advanced"
0.03,503,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonblight/Chavun/advanced"
-0.48,488,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/Bloodhoof/Lexxy/advanced"
-0.55,486,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/Glorien/advanced"
-1.02,488,19,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/draenor/Zamzooma/advanced"
-1.12,491,4,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Contest/advanced"
1.21,509,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/alakir/Kalevkill/advanced"
1.20,510,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Tituss/advanced"
0.84,507,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/draenor/Bitmap/advanced"
0.61,502,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Rogulski/advanced"
0.61,499,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonblight/Nitrous/advanced"
0.15,511,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/Zeddcus/advanced"
-0.19,499,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/Morg%C3%A0nna/advanced"
-0.20,511,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Holyfighter/advanced"
-0.29,497,9,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonblight/Thalinaar/advanced"
-0.53,494,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bladefist/Ironcaster/advanced"
-0.64,488,4,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Psykix/advanced"
-0.81,503,6,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/dandia/advanced"
-1.10,488,6,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Panamah/advanced"
-1.29,510,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aszune/Kruimel/advanced"
-1.38,488,7,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/draenor/Erekka/advanced"
-1.62,486,19,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/deathwing/Epicwarior/advanced"
0.97,503,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Johnnyhun/advanced"
0.82,506,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/Laelitha/advanced"
0.59,498,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Mandinga/advanced"
0.58,501,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/Zadoc/advanced"
0.40,509,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/natasia/advanced"
0.16,489,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggra-portugues/Angilizer/advanced"
0.11,513,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/Vorosh/advanced"
-0.33,511,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/draenor/stormbringer/advanced"
-0.34,487,5,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonblight/Seiryoku/advanced"
-0.37,488,3,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonblight/thilds/advanced"
-0.87,508,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/maeglcarwen/advanced"
-1.03,508,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Dal/advanced"
-1.24,506,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/shamarra/advanced"
-1.54,485,9,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/krispie/advanced"
-1.98,502,10,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/deathwing/Everhate/advanced"
1.75,508,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Ghostvirus/advanced"
1.62,512,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Monarchgnome/advanced"
1.32,499,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/nihalist/advanced"
1.09,510,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/pacemaker/advanced"
1.03,499,6,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Muenne/advanced"
0.90,510,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aszune/lerigord/advanced"
0.68,504,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/Baz%C3%AEnga/advanced"
0.59,494,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/azjolnerub/Riddicw/advanced"
0.52,512,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Mirieney/advanced"
0.45,510,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/draenor/empula/advanced"
0.30,503,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/twilights-hammer/Frostblade/advanced"
-0.26,505,8,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/Aggramar/morrie/advanced"
-0.27,486,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aszune/M%C3%BAru/advanced"
-0.39,486,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/agamaggan/Spidercl%C3%A1w/advanced"
-1.02,509,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aszune/afterlife/advanced"
-1.41,498,3,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/thadelia/advanced"
0.89,521,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aszune/melphas/advanced"
0.84,499,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/zenedar/centaurus/advanced"
0.59,501,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Kevalina/advanced"
0.33,498,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/raikken/advanced"
0.26,514,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Goranth/advanced"
-0.34,484,9,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Rawdeal/advanced"
-0.67,490,8,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Ep%C3%A1k/advanced"
-0.68,490,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/draenor/farsite/advanced"
-0.75,486,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/nurdo/advanced"
-0.82,506,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodhoof/elmilagro/advanced"
-0.87,510,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Allusia/advanced"
-0.89,483,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/thillia/advanced"
-0.90,487,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Drapuszek/advanced"
-0.93,497,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Tuborgg/advanced"
-1.05,491,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/furong/advanced"
-1.37,487,5,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/draenor/crankcase/advanced"
1.44,518,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/R%C3%A9lay/advanced"
1.29,508,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/zenedar/Imani/advanced"
0.84,500,4,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodscalp/Valdius/advanced"
0.64,508,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/vampi/advanced"
0.38,510,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonblight/Mariug/advanced"
0.36,502,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonblight/ekaterinska/advanced"
0.30,510,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/azjolnerub/Notjet/advanced"
-0.06,498,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/twilights-hammer/Edsan/advanced"
-0.37,487,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/zantar/advanced"
-0.41,498,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/sunstrider/zazul/advanced"
-0.49,498,5,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Ruhan/advanced"
-0.57,484,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/shankbone/advanced"
-1.00,496,12,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/nikibaby/advanced"
-1.04,498,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Vandos/advanced"
-1.73,488,9,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Pandoras/advanced"
-1.81,491,22,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/Tirill/advanced"
2.73,522,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Seelenjaeger/advanced"
2.13,519,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodscalp/Elyminator/advanced"
2.11,515,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Erzamen/advanced"
1.52,515,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/azjolnerub/Kshira/advanced"
1.43,505,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Brutalen/advanced"
1.22,512,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodhoof/Piktou/advanced"
1.00,504,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Pinioslaw/advanced"
0.65,504,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/Worldbinder/advanced"
0.35,505,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodhoof/zelmiane/advanced"
0.27,501,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Zalibart/advanced"
-0.60,484,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/El%C3%ACza/advanced"
-0.87,492,8,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Srindya/advanced"
-1.01,485,5,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/sunstrider/Saidar/advanced"
-1.17,482,9,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Pickeloo/advanced"
-1.41,498,8,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonblight/Sluttyvixen/advanced"
-1.44,500,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Annirette/advanced"
2.61,512,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/taimo/advanced"
1.00,503,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggra-portugues/Oforfamar/advanced"
0.98,505,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggra-portugues/minorcas/advanced"
0.80,503,4,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonblight/Ebhoth/advanced"
0.54,495,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/Regulos/advanced"
0.53,509,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodhoof/moobei/advanced"
0.45,511,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/frostika/advanced"
0.24,506,5,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bladefist/nobinhood/advanced"
0.18,503,7,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodscalp/Varangyh/advanced"
0.11,514,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Mistilly/advanced"
0.06,511,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggra-portugues/Showleader/advanced"
-0.36,506,6,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/anniska/advanced"
-0.53,506,5,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Volkh/advanced"
-0.63,505,4,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bladefist/trojax/advanced"
-0.75,499,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/furiad/advanced"
-1.39,488,19,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/cigiman/advanced"
1.91,502,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Tyrel/advanced"
1.33,503,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/goltan/advanced"
1.31,510,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/frostone/advanced"
0.77,500,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Kreun/advanced"
0.71,494,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Keirgar/advanced"
0.68,516,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Warfare/advanced"
0.41,497,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/agamaggan/Yrene/advanced"
0.08,515,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/tintos/advanced"
-0.05,512,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/ricdam/advanced"
-0.17,497,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/draenor/rython/advanced"
-0.25,495,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/azjolnerub/S%C3%A9nsei/advanced"
-0.35,502,6,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/azjolnerub/spize/advanced"
-0.38,490,13,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Thorim/advanced"
-0.85,507,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodhoof/leeuw/advanced"
-2.36,514,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Trystan/advanced"
-2.45,509,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonblight/Moleesung/advanced"
1.60,505,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/azjolnerub/Lefey/advanced"
1.48,510,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/Zsgy%C3%ADk/advanced"
0.46,515,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/posefemale/advanced"
0.40,490,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Moosheep/advanced"
0.27,498,10,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonmaw/simpade/advanced"
0.18,500,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/draenor/b%C3%ADtty/advanced"
-0.07,501,12,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodscalp/depes/advanced"
-0.18,483,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Voltio/advanced"
-0.33,484,5,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aszune/luvie/advanced"
-0.81,484,9,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/twilights-hammer/Downer/advanced"
-0.98,490,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Selinthia/advanced"
-1.08,492,14,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/zenedar/dreamweaver/advanced"
-1.32,495,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Darkprofet/advanced"
-1.40,488,9,"eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Vinarus/advanced"
-1.93,487,4,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Malisity/advanced"
-2.23,484,10,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/qorth/advanced"
1.92,512,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Stobila/advanced"
1.49,500,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aszune/Antlion/advanced"
1.22,506,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodscalp/yong/advanced"
0.90,488,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Fireblastrer/advanced"
0.56,504,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dunemaul/aimstar/advanced"
0.28,500,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodscalp/littleevil/advanced"
0.12,497,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bladefist/aqire/advanced"
-0.15,497,9,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/mcbreath/advanced"
-0.25,507,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Asameth/advanced"
-0.30,486,7,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Silachim/advanced"
-0.38,505,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Patrickje/advanced"
-0.52,487,5,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dunemaul/kuijana/advanced"
-0.98,490,3,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/azjolnerub/Yellea/advanced"
-1.00,486,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Wavelet/advanced"
-1.63,503,13,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/fasa/advanced"
-2.09,517,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Jadee/advanced"
2.11,512,3,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Samasikutra/advanced"
1.00,521,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aszune/sipmark/advanced"
0.79,501,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/lilonka/advanced"
0.51,512,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/amondei/advanced"
0.45,506,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Fau/advanced"
0.26,494,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Frudo/advanced"
0.22,497,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/agamaggan/L%C3%ADvia/advanced"
0.14,493,3,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/voncloud/advanced"
-0.14,497,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonblight/fizle/advanced"
-0.20,506,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/gheolun/advanced"
-0.24,496,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/azjolnerub/Senturus/advanced"
-0.26,494,6,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/mevi/advanced"
-0.32,489,5,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggra-portugues/Furballs/advanced"
-0.46,504,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Superhealzz/advanced"
-0.88,480,9,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/Yalmar/advanced"
-1.20,484,8,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonblight/swens/advanced"
1.77,507,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/arantis/advanced"
0.87,513,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/talla/advanced"
0.86,503,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/zenedar/C%C3%ACbo/advanced"
0.46,491,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Szprej/advanced"
0.41,492,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aszune/stardotstar/advanced"
0.40,509,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodhoof/shenestha/advanced"
0.39,509,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/chamberlain/advanced"
0.39,494,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/jonome/advanced"
0.00,492,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonblight/ulycees/advanced"
-0.04,495,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/cuppateaa/advanced"
-0.13,505,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Wizbod/advanced"
-0.13,493,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/miqqi/advanced"
-0.35,504,5,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/krixi/advanced"
-0.42,488,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodscalp/ara/advanced"
-0.84,480,5,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Illunia/advanced"
-1.04,496,7,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bladefist/tjock/advanced"
1.89,516,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/wilfy/advanced"
0.71,501,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Kormad/advanced"
0.63,514,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Nessa/advanced"
0.50,494,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aszune/thysthere/advanced"
0.12,498,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Brewtalit%C3%BD/advanced"
-0.07,488,5,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Kyou/advanced"
-0.12,503,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/twilights-hammer/Azreell/advanced"
-0.25,513,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/E%C3%B4wyn/advanced"
-0.84,480,4,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/azjolnerub/Ishnelador/advanced"
-0.89,487,3,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Myterio/advanced"
-1.07,501,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aszune/englishpride/advanced"
-1.14,489,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Malteaser/advanced"
-1.42,488,12,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Worgian/advanced"
-1.42,514,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Alokadius/advanced"
-1.53,483,9,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodscalp/Pinela/advanced"
-1.98,509,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Banehallowgr/advanced"
1.92,519,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/aqillius/advanced"
1.91,522,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Wutuff/advanced"
1.00,502,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/sunstrider/sindal/advanced"
0.50,493,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/shadowdemons/advanced"
0.34,500,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/Sm%C3%A1llfr%C3%ADe/advanced"
0.29,504,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/terrordworf/advanced"
0.14,501,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/fatusbloke/advanced"
0.08,490,3,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Nukis/advanced"
0.06,504,12,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Doroftey/advanced"
0.05,515,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Moxy/advanced"
-0.30,509,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/azjolnerub/Guinness/advanced"
-0.54,507,4,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/alakir/Predat%C3%B4r/advanced"
-0.67,484,13,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/mizu/advanced"
-0.75,496,20,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Fhae/advanced"
-1.50,488,11,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/Kuninghunt/advanced"
-1.52,485,20,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonmaw/basileios/advanced"
1.08,508,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Ni%C3%A1a/advanced"
0.54,503,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodhoof/abramelin/advanced"
0.34,506,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/Gomoie/advanced"
0.34,508,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/chelseaa/advanced"
-0.02,487,5,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Sudimet/advanced"
-0.27,486,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/cidia/advanced"
-0.32,484,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aszune/grulzaz/advanced"
-0.38,483,11,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodhoof/loafpincher/advanced"
-0.42,500,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonblight/Pinrgen/advanced"
-0.46,503,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/neytirie/advanced"
-0.58,505,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodscalp/L%C3%ADriel/advanced"
-0.73,490,8,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodhoof/Kittikat/advanced"
-0.90,483,10,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/draenor/shiroyasha/advanced"
-0.95,486,3,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/draenor/allsaint/advanced"
-1.02,480,8,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Readhunter/advanced"
-1.13,489,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aszune/oljadblixt/advanced"
1.81,513,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Landserr/advanced"
1.67,511,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/barryscott/advanced"
1.52,510,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonblight/sam/advanced"
1.02,502,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/draenor/vareck/advanced"
0.92,509,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/azjolnerub/Ekzim/advanced"
0.40,497,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/exploud/advanced"
0.20,505,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/azjolnerub/Trollepain/advanced"
-0.22,492,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Superstarr/advanced"
-0.31,489,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/One/advanced"
-0.69,497,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aszune/lohna/advanced"
-0.72,488,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Beefs/advanced"
-0.82,483,6,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/azjolnerub/Gremel/advanced"
-0.90,483,5,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Samanilawls/advanced"
-1.11,481,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/platinumah/advanced"
-1.23,514,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Clueso/advanced"
-1.42,487,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/stance/advanced"
1.13,517,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/katam/advanced"
1.07,525,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/azjolnerub/Quellan/advanced"
1.07,517,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Jakisuaki/advanced"
0.25,509,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/eriphyle/advanced"
0.22,504,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/halgarth/advanced"
0.10,510,6,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/dull/advanced"
-0.06,502,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/xav%C3%A9r/advanced"
-0.26,500,7,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/chubo/advanced"
-0.60,485,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/draenor/B%C3%B8bble/advanced"
-0.85,494,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Imortisha/advanced"
-1.05,501,4,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/hugeboss/advanced"
-1.16,487,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodhoof/maimedangel/advanced"
-1.25,485,4,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonblight/ulfwar/advanced"
-1.46,485,10,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodscalp/lockoska/advanced"
-1.50,486,10,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Stoupik/advanced"
-1.73,486,5,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aszune/fartacus/advanced"
0.85,509,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/draenor/luzifer/advanced"
0.79,508,10,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Krzykus/advanced"
0.36,492,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggra-portugues/Insaah/advanced"
0.10,509,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Opherro/advanced"
0.02,516,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Daemonie/advanced"
0.00,508,12,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/asustua/advanced"
-0.09,505,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Remul/advanced"
-0.37,515,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/kelodeth/advanced"
-0.43,496,9,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/azjolnerub/Falmear/advanced"
-0.45,509,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/draenor/sindoraia/advanced"
-0.64,492,6,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bladefist/kukulkanas/advanced"
-0.75,510,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/stickypaws/advanced"
-0.97,497,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Deathbreach/advanced"
-0.99,485,11,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/draenor/zeleene/advanced"
-1.30,512,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/draenor/qwicky/advanced"
-1.64,487,8,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Cuyler/advanced"
1.89,519,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/geldorff/advanced"
1.56,514,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/twilights-hammer/Dellerium/advanced"
0.96,511,4,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonmaw/mindstab/advanced"
0.40,509,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggra-portugues/Demix/advanced"
0.36,495,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonmaw/magicmack/advanced"
0.25,510,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Hadewig/advanced"
0.22,491,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aszune/elithuzad/advanced"
0.05,498,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aszune/knoklen/advanced"
0.05,512,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/cobrastrike/advanced"
0.00,506,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Ninci/advanced"
-0.26,496,15,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonblight/horohorro/advanced"
-0.80,482,7,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodscalp/nyul%C3%A1nyka/advanced"
-0.80,492,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Shyila/advanced"
-0.85,488,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/facebeated/advanced"
-1.06,486,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/alakir/Meepa/advanced"
-1.65,500,20,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/azjolnerub/Munkii/advanced"
1.52,521,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Afrak/advanced"
1.21,504,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/doomhammer/Methacus/advanced"
0.60,510,7,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-blade/Marabu/advanced"
0.20,510,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aszune/Stumbrs/advanced"
0.06,507,4,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/Ryuruxpin/advanced"
-0.10,499,5,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/dragonblight/b%C3%A9rnard/advanced"
-0.30,500,3,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Xorgis/advanced"
-0.34,497,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggra-portugues/%C3%96racl%C3%AB/advanced"
-0.38,493,8,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Materam/advanced"
-0.53,510,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Silverhaar/advanced"
-0.65,517,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/Litilia/advanced"
-0.66,508,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/arathor/vadudi/advanced"
-0.79,484,7,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/War%C3%A9lic/advanced"
-0.81,482,8,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Amethyste/advanced"
-1.36,488,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/invidia/advanced"
-1.48,482,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodhoof/puffranett/advanced"
0.91,507,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Malei/advanced"
0.81,502,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/burning-legion/Akhylss/advanced"
0.69,518,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/F%C3%A9l%C3%AD%C3%ADx/advanced"
0.33,499,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/lathern/advanced"
0.26,505,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodhoof/dross/advanced"
0.24,511,3,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/Aggramar/gnoddy/advanced"
0.23,510,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/Bloodhoof/Onil/advanced"
0.16,518,3,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/emerald-dream/Serenni/advanced"
-0.05,492,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodscalp/%C3%96rdie/advanced"
-0.53,482,7,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aszune/zadani/advanced"
-0.58,500,2,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/argent-dawn/Mosum/advanced"
-0.82,506,0,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodhoof/Xaya/advanced"
-1.04,485,19,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/twilights-hammer/Pando/advanced"
-1.15,492,14,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/aggramar/Ikuko/advanced"
-1.30,485,1,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodhoof/Jeremu/advanced"
-1.90,485,15,"http://eu.battle.net/wow/en/character/bloodhoof/leviara/advanced"
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Posted in Ideas | No comments

Sunday, 26 May 2013

I told you it's not normal distribution!

Posted on 22:00 by Unknown
Few things annoys me as much as claiming that the results of people show a Gaussian distribution: most people have average results and as you move to the extremes, you get less and less people. There is no doubt that the abilities of people follow a Gaussian distribution: our IQ, our strength follow it. In games the amount of time real life allows us to play also. The "results are Gaussian" claim is merely saying "your results depend on your resources". If you play better, you surely played more. If you have better job, you were lucky to have high IQ and a high-earner family to get you to college. Saying "results are Gaussian too" is saying "your results are out of your control".

To disprove it, I started to collect results. It wasn't easy to get unbiased, straightforward dataset. The idea came from my girlfriend: Megaera. This is a very simple raidboss in World of Warcraft for damage dealers: stand where everyone else, shoot what everyone else, minimal "dancing" and even that is ignored in LFR. The Patchwerk of Pandaria. So I resubscribed WoW (just for this project, don't dream EVE players!) and went to kill Megs. 25 times in the same lockout (the week before the patch):
My girlfriend donated another 6 dead Megs so I had 31 screenshots of damage meters. Since I found that in most raids one damage dealer was AFK/DC/offline, I ignored the 17th, so got 16 data from each kills, 496 data points all together. Since the "DPS" field of the damage meter is weird, often providing higher number for a player who did less damage, I simply divided damage done with fight length (and 1.05 if there was a wipe before).
This is probably not an accurate DPS as there is time spent running between heads, but I don't care about that, I wanted to compare performances. So for accuracy: the below data is exact for "damage done on Megaera on LFR" and approximated for DPS.

With that said, the average, rounded DPS of the dataset is 65K with the sigma of 20K. I divided the players into half-sigma (10K) wide groups, so the middle group with the name "65" means those who had between 60 and 70K DPS. The left column is to be read "between 0 and 30" instead of "between 20 and 30" while the rightmost is "100 and above". The results are these:
As you can see, the Gaussian doesn't fit the results well, while "DoubleGauss" do. For easier comparison, here are the error bars (difference between real and fits). As you can see the "DoubleGauss" has much smaller errors.
The mean square difference is 0.0183 for Gaussian and 0.0078 for this "DoubleGauss", with most of the error coming in the two rightmost bars. I think it is because of the set bonuses, if someone gets good gear, he gets disproportionally better stats via set bonuses, so there are less "almost very good" players than "very good" ones. Both fits fail similarly for these bars, if we ignore them, the mean square differences change to 0.0168 and 0.0035 respectively, making this "DoubleGauss" almost perfect fit, within the granularity range (you can't get smoother results than 1/496 if you have 496 exact datapoints).

What is this "DoubleGauss"?
It's the sum of two Gaussians, the blue has the mean of 69K with 20K sigma, the brown has 47K mean with 10K sigma. These are two different, overlapping Gaussians, products of two yes-or-no different groups. It's like trying to measure size of dogs and figuring out that some of our subjects are actually cats. While there are genuine small-sized dogs (blue is non-zero in the sub-40K DPS), most of the low size results came from the invading cats.

This is the point when - instead of being satisfied that I was right - I double-checked everything because I did not want to believe it: the brown "scrub-player" Gaussian has 21% weight only. I - along with most good players - expected to see a small "elite" next to the large group of "n00bs". Instead I found that the good and average players belong to the same dataset, and the scrubs are the small minority that doesn't belong.

This is probably while Blizzard is losing customers: everyone - including myself - believed that the majority of the players is bad and catering to them is a good idea to make the game popular. But no, they are a small, but vocal minority. When Blizzard dumbed everything down to their level, they served this minority against the majority. While there are bad players who belong to the majority, they are indeed newbies and very low playtime players, who are like us, therefore don't need freebies, just shorter timespan content and more materials to learn.

The above graphs don't tell who are the "scrubs" besides two facts: they are unlike the majority and they suck at WoW. Tomorrow we'll see who they are.
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Thursday, 23 May 2013

World of Tanks cheat: the exploit

Posted on 22:00 by Unknown
This is the final part of a series, see part 4, 3, 2 and 1 first.

Every cheat is an inbalance in the game. Every inbalance can be exploited. The exploit is the ultimate proof, everything else can be disproved. I can write essays about a hidden door in the wall, I can use lot of evidence, I can be as careful as I am and I can still be wrong. There is one unquestionable way to prove the existence of the door: open it and walk trough it. I did walk trough the back-door built into World of Tanks and after reading this, you can too. People who abandon the game over being cheated can be replaced by new victims. But those who walk the back door cannot be ignored as they ruin the game for others. Also, it's pretty easy to, so I expect it to become the standard way of farming credits/XP.

What does the cheat want? To equalize the income people earn in a battle. It doesn't matter how good or bad you are, you gain generally the same amount of credits over hundreds of battles. The cheat is very well-written. When I wrote the old articles a year ago, we tried countless ways to break it, some worked for a while but the algorithm adopted or got improved and we were back where we started. There can be ways we couldn't figure out, but it doesn't matter. After you earned well for a couple dozen matches, the game will place enough handicap on you to push you back to the average. There is nothing you can do to increase your credits/battle, the cheat cannot be defeated.

But why would you care about your credits/battle? Your resource is time, not battle count. You want to increase your credits/hour. Credits/hour = credits/battle * battles/hour. The first is constant. The second can be exploited. All you need is to participate in lot of battles in an hour:

I started a new account to test the exploit independently. My purpose was to die as fast as I could. I tried to shoot and cause as much damage as I could before dying but ignored strategy and just rushed head-first into the enemy. My winrate started to drop, as I played as a horrible idiot. But soon, the algorithm recognized that I'm a "for fun" player and started to help me, bringing my winrate up to 50%:

By horrible zerging I could get the length of my participation in battle down to two and a half minutes, including the countdown and the waiting for the game to form. The same length with normal playing was around 10 minutes with the tank destroyers. What were the results?
In Tier3 and 5 I had top 1% winrate with the TD and below average as zerg. I had 3x more damage and kills with TD than I had with mindless zerging, but my XP/battle was only 1.5x higher! With Tier 4 I had above average winrate with both, due to AMX 40 can't really zerg and Alecto is a horrible TD. There I had "just" 2x more kills and damage and the same XP/battle. It is a proof for the cheat itself: in all cases I got twice as much XP/damage when I was playing intentionally bad. But the point is that by zerging mindlessly, I could participate in 3-4x more battles, so my XP/hour was 2-2.5x higher!

Unfortunately I did not write down the credit income with the British TDs because I did not know back then that it will be important. However I remember clearly to be credit-limited. The tank was already elite, with all items and the upcoming tank researched but I couldn't buy the next tank due to lack of credits, I had to farm some matches. In case of zerging, I was clearly XP-limited, I had the credits already when the tank missed 20-25% of the XP. It means that my credits/XP ratio increased significantly by zerging. Since my XP/hour is already 2-2.5x higher, it translates to 3-4x more credits/hour while playing horribly.

So to gain awful lot of credits and XP, all you need is fast death. If you have no subscription, use T5 scouts and fast mediums. Have 4 tanks of different nations ready, die fast, join the next battle with the next tank. With subscription, use high-speed Tier 7-8 gold tanks for even more credits! If you start zerging, especially if you had good winrate before, it will take some time for the algorithm to re-align, expect horrible winrate and little income for the first dozen or even hundred of matches. But finally the algorithm will catch up, elevates your winrate to 50% and from there you can just harvest.

You might ask how can one earn credits by playing horribly. If you make no damage, you can't earn anything. Well, I did not say you shouldn't shoot at all, that's stupid. You should shoot at every enemy you can. You'll be lucky! I mean "ammoracking a heavy from front from 300m while running full speed" lucky. Remember the unkillable T-50-2! You'll be that tank! Also, you'll almost always be the highest tier tank in the battle further helping you farm.

For example you rush into the middle of the map, all alone, finding yourself head-on with 5 enemies. Bad luck, right? I mean you can fire once or twice before you die under that fire. Except if you are "lucky":


Or, you rush forward left side, only to notice that by some weird luck, the enemy has lemming train on the other side, so you can reach their flag after meeting only 2 enemies. Then you can cap and kill the returning enemies, including tanks you shouldn't even penetrate, while not getting a scratch:

Of course these are extremes. Usually, you'll die fast after scoring a few hits while on the run, so take every shot you can, "luck" can't help you if you don't help yourself! Go now and break this disgusting cheat! Let's make EVE Incarna riots look like low-profile forum drama. Turn every battle into a zergfest and spread the word! Tell those who naively call you a noob that you are earning 2x more XP and 3x more credits than them by "being a noob". Make them zerg too! Imagine Malinovkas where everyone just run into the middle at the start!

The reason why no one found this result is that they believe that the opposite of good player is the AFK-er. You can't earn credits and XP via being AFK as you don't have hits and also because you'll live long, so your XP/hour will be bad. The weird, multiplication-based subscription is probably created exactly to don't reward AFK-ing. An AFK-er is obvious to his team, so annoys people. A bot is obvious to his team too. But a suicider is simply a dime-a-dozen bad player. The only difference exist in your head, you could play better if you wanted to, while a genuine moron really things that crossing Malinovka field is a good move.

Unlike exploiting a fair game, here you don't have to perform any special moves that could be banned. An AFK-leech can be banned. A gold duper in Diablo III could be banned. An evade-bug or Saronite Bomb raider can be banned. But they can't ban you for playing bad as they'd have to ban half their players. In a fair game the punishment for playing bad is defeat and resource loss. If you'd suicide-rush in League of Legends, you'd lose games in a row and get your rating devastated. If you'd suicide-rush in a WoW battleground, you'd lose games and get much less honor and especially conquest points than normal players. LoL and WoW don't cheat. WoT does, making sure that you get the same rewards for being bad as you'd get being good. So go and be bad!
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Wednesday, 22 May 2013

World of Tanks cheat: it's the economy stupid!

Posted on 22:00 by Unknown
This is part 4 of a series, see part 3, 2 and 1 first.

World of tanks is a free to play game, with some pay-to-win elements. While gold ammo is indeed overpowered, it's expensive enough to keep most players from using it. Cosmetic nonsense is sold but no one cares and there are gold-only tanks but they aren't overpowered. The feature that brings the money to the developers is subscription. What does it do? Increases XP gain by 50%, which isn't really interesting if you are not rushing anywhere just play the game. Its other effect is increasing credit gains. Credits are important part of the game. You not only spend them on buying more tanks but on maintenance of your current tank. If you don't make enough credits, you can't continue playing with your favorite tank and must go to farm credits with lower tanks. Maintenance costs increase with tank tier. The wiki says that you get a few credits for joining the battle but most of your credits must be earned by damaging enemies, spotting them for others to damage and capturing objectives. These credits are multiplied by 1.5 if you have subscription. Tank maintenance means repairing the damaged tank, credit cost depends on HP lost in the battle and tank tier. You also have to replace used ammunition and consumables, top level ammo is pretty expensive. The maintenance cost can be higher than credits earned, ending the match with a net loss for you.

The subscription gives you no income at all, it multiplies the income you make by playing. If you did zero damage and zero spotting, it will multiply only the near-zero base reward. It means that there are two hard skill limits for every tank tier: the higher line is the free-play line. If you are better than this, you earn enough credits to maintain that tank without paying subscription. Divide this "skill number" by 1.5 and you get the scrub-line. If you are worse than that, you can't maintain your tank even if you pay subscription.

You see the catch? Subscription can only be sold to "average" players, the ones between the two lines. Those who are better than the free-play limit don't need subscription. They may buy one for convenience, especially if they want to get tier 10 tanks for clan matches but most of them won't pay a dime to the developer. Those who are below the scrub line have absolutely no reason to pay as it won't do them any good. They are practically paying for multiplying zero by 1.5. Gold tanks have higher multiplier but that still doesn't help if you have nothing to multiply, so bad players won't spend on gold tanks either.

The 1.5 multiplier places the two lines very close to each other. If we assume that the average (or median) player is halfway between the two lines, then the scrub-line is at 80% of the average and the free-line is at 120% (80*1.5 = 120). Let's approximate skill with kills. It's far from perfect but follow me please. The average player has 0.74 kills/battle. So if you have less than 0.6, you can't play in a tier that meant to be playable for an average player, even if you pay subscription. If you have more than 0.9 kills/battle, you can play that tier for free.

The most iconic gold tanks, the Type59 and the Löwe are at tier 8. Tier 8 is where people farm their credits, so an average player meant to have income in T8 assuming he pays subscription. I have 1.23 kill/battle with my Tier 8, way over the free-limit. It is 67% higher than the average, so I should earn more credits without subscription than an average player earns with subscription. I didn't earn anything. I continuously lost credits, about 100K over 40 games. The debriefing screens clearly shown that I could earn lot of credits if I'd have a subscription. But I should be earning now!

This is the purpose of the cheat. In order to make World of Tanks profitable, every player must be held between the scrub and the free limits. Someone outside the limits is a lost customer. The goal of the cheat is not to give you losses, it's not to deny you kills, it is to deny you income over the limit. Similarly it's not about to boost a horrible player to wins or kills, it is to give him credits to have something to multiply. You can have significantly higher winrate than 50%. You can increase your XP gain. You can get medals. But you can't earn significantly more or less credits than the average player. Since credits come from dealing damage, the game needs to mess with your damage. Since winners survive and losers don't, in order to give you maintenance cost, the game needs to mess with your winrate. Also to give others damage, you need to get damaged. What you experience during battles is a by-product of the cheat that aims to set your "proper" income. This is why gold ammo is now available for credits: since it cannot earn its price, even with ideal hit, the algorithm can't care less if you increase your winrate with it, you are losing credits.

Please look at these two income sections. They were made when 300 gold was given for changing your password, so we had a 1-day subscription. There was also an event, giving 15000 credits for a medal. Without event and subscription my girlfriend earned -5587 credits while I earned -2361. Maybe we just weren't good enough on this battle. I mean our performance could easily be worse than 1.2x the average, therefore did not deserve income. Maybe this is average play:
On this battle each of us damaged more than the rest of the team combined. With subscription it earned lot of credits. Without it, negative. I'm of course not saying we always played like this. It would be OK to gain credits on this and still lose on average. But we lost credits even when we had the above performance. You can literally do miracles and still lose credits on the same battle where drooling morons gain credits - with subscription.

We know what the cheat wants. We know how does it work. And we know for sure that every cheat can be exploited. Tomorrow you will see how can you double your XP gain, triple your credit gain, and pull awesome stunts (like that unkillable T-50-2) at the cost of making the battle a pain to everyone else involved.


PS: I'm obviously not saying that the developer shouldn't earn money or should allow anyone to use its service for free. The problem is that WoT officially allows you to play the game fully for free, but makes it impossible via a cheat. Officially you can earn credits with a T10 if you play good enough. Practically, you can't even do that with a Tier 8 when you are just becoming Ace Tanker.
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